BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Michigan St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 9 Overall: (27-8) Overall Strength =   49.61
Conference: Big 10 Record: (15-6) | District: 1-01 Record: (20-7)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    W      29.90  80  69    1 255 (18-15) Colgate               -18.91 *   29.91                      
 2 11-08-2025 Home    W   *  47.37  69  66    1  16 (28- 9) Arkansas               -1.43      4.43                      
 3 11-13-2025 Home    W      40.09  79  60    1 211 ( 9-24) San Jose St            -8.72 *   27.72                      
 4 11-18-2025 Neutral W   *  61.75  83  66    1  26 (22-14) Kentucky               12.94      4.06                      
 5 11-21-2025 Home    W      47.36  84  56    1 224 (17-15) Detroit                -1.44 *   29.44                      
 6 11-25-2025 Neutral W      53.07  89  56    1 242 (11-20) East Carolina           4.26 *   28.74                      
 7 11-27-2025 Neutral W   *  59.90  74  58    1  27 (24- 9) North Carolina         11.09      4.91                      
 8 12-02-2025 Home    W * *  61.16  71  52    1  24 (24-13) Iowa                   12.35      6.65                      
 9 12-06-2025 Home    L   *  47.15  60  66    1   2 (35- 3) Duke                   -1.66     -4.34                      
10 12-13-2025 Away    W * *  36.22  76  72    1 129 (12-20) Penn St               -12.59     16.59                      
11 12-16-2025 Home    W      48.86  92  69    1 139 (19-15) Toledo                  0.05     22.95                      
12 12-20-2025 Neutral W      35.93  79  70    1 162 (16-16) Oakland               -12.87     21.87                      
13 12-29-2025 Home    W   *  40.97 114  97    1 166 (15-13) Cornell                -7.84     24.84                      
14 01-02-2026 Away    L * *  47.64  56  58    1  11 (28- 7) Nebraska               -1.17     -0.83                      
15 01-05-2026 Home    W * *  62.01  80  51    1  72 (18-14) Southern Cal           13.20     15.80                      
16 01-08-2026 Home    W * *  45.24  76  66    1  58 (15-19) Northwestern           -3.57     13.57                      
17 01-13-2026 Home    W * *  60.27  81  60    1  36 (18-14) Indiana                11.46      9.54                      
18 01-17-2026 Away    W * *  59.32  80  63    1  51 (16-17) Washington             10.51      6.49                      
19 01-20-2026 Away    W * *  52.65  68  52    1  87 (12-20) Oregon                  3.84     12.16                      
20 01-24-2026 Home    W * *  70.66  91  48    1 112 (12-21) Maryland               21.85     21.15                      
21 01-27-2026 Away    W * *  41.78  88  79 1  1 109 (14-20) Rutgers                -7.03     16.03                      
22 01-30-2026 Home    L * *  43.81  71  83    1   1 (37- 3) Michigan               -5.00     -7.00                      
23 02-04-2026 Away    L * *  35.16  73  76    1  84 (15-18) Minnesota             -13.65     10.65                      
24 02-07-2026 Home    W * *  52.65  85  82 1  1   7 (28- 9) Illinois                3.84     -0.84                      
25 02-13-2026 Away    L * *  26.11  71  92    1  23 (24-11) Wisconsin             -22.70      1.70                      
26 02-17-2026 Home    W * *  63.33  82  59    1  29 (24-12) UCLA                   14.52      8.48                      
27 02-22-2026 Home    W * *  47.54  66  60    1  25 (21-13) Ohio St                -1.27      7.27                      
28 02-26-2026 Away    W * *  55.29  76  74    1   8 (30- 9) Purdue                  6.48     -4.48                      
29 03-01-2026 Away    W * *  57.67  77  64    1  36 (18-14) Indiana                 8.86      4.14                      
30 03-05-2026 Home    W * *  31.38  91  87    1 109 (14-20) Rutgers               -17.43     21.43                      
31 03-08-2026 Away    L * *  51.21  80  90    1   1 (37- 3) Michigan                2.40    -12.40                      
32 03-13-2026 Neutral L * *  39.03  84  88    1  29 (24-12) UCLA                   -9.78      5.78                      
33 03-19-2026 Neutral W      54.84  92  67    1 121 (26- 8) N Dakota St             6.03     18.97                      
34 03-21-2026 Neutral W   *  55.96  77  69    1  18 (24-11) Louisville              7.15      0.85                      
35 03-27-2026 Neutral L      45.03  63  67    1  10 (34- 6) Connecticut            -3.78     -0.22                      
      Averages              48.81  78.8 68.3

Best game:   70.66 = 43 point win over Maryland
Worst game:  26.11 = 21 point loss to Wisconsin
Team stdev:  10.63